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There are approximately 10-12 sites where the eastern population of monarch butterflies aggregate each winter in
Mexico. These sites are large colonies estimated to contain millions of individual butterflies.
- The population graph shows annual area of forest occupied by monarchs from 1994 to the present. It's a combined total, as if monarchs from all of the sanctuaries were clustered together. The long-term average is about 6 hectares. Of course this can vary dramatically from year to year. (One year El Rosario Sanctuary alone was 5 hectares, or an estimated 250 million monarchs.)
- Most years, an estimated 80% of the butterflies overwinter in only four core colonies. This distribution map shows which sanctuaries the butterflies had selected last winter (in December).
- The monarchs are not found in the same proportion each year at these colonies. The
relative sizes of each sanctuary can be quite variable from year to year. For example, these pie charts compare which sanctuaries the butterflies had selected (in December) the past two winters.
- The area the butterflies cover in a colony is very small at any given time. However, if one considers the surface
occupied by a colony from the butterflies' arrival in Novermber until their departure in March, it has been estimated
at 60 hectares per colony.
- The butterflies move around
considerably when they arrive early in the season. Initially they form many small, highly dispersed colonies. By
mid-December, these many colonies coalesce into only the ten to twelve colonies that persist each year.
- The monarch sanctuary region is only 40 miles wide and 62 miles long (65 km x 100 km). If you include only
the boundaried sanctuaries, it is 16 miles wide and 43 miles long (26 x 70 km).
- The entire area of core and outlier colonies is bounded on the east by
longitude 99.9W and on the west by longitude 101.0W. Assuming that monarchs cannot home and correct the consequences of a miss, those migrants flying
in from the north must strike the Transvolcanic Belt somewhere within this
1.1 degree (71 mile) wide corredor to find the overwintering sites.
Contributed by Dr. Bill Calvert
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