Where Did the South Dakota Monarch Come From?

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How likely is it that a monarch would be in South Dakota in April? What would help you decide if the sighting was accurate?

Do some detective work. Consider the observer's comments, the weather, and what you can learn about migration from past years.

  • Organize your evidence and make a case for your decision on this handout. >>

Handout >>

Consider the Observer's Comments
April 22, 2008  
Sioux Falls, South Dakota (42 N)
"I can't believe I'm writing this, but my husband just called and saw a monarch outside his office window," wrote Thea Ryan, naturalist at the Outdoor Center in Sioux Falls, SD. "He's been tagging with me for over 10 years, so I know he knows what a monarch looks like. Could it have been released by someone? Our first sightings are usually in mid-to-late May. How unusual and exciting for Earth Day! We did have a very strong south wind last week that blew tons of smoke from a fire in Kansas into our area. I suppose it is possible butterflies could have been helped along by the strong wind?"
Husband Tim Ryan added, "My office has a window and looking out I saw a Monarch which I thought was very strange. I watched it move around outside for about a minute before it moved off. It was probably fifteen feet outside my window but looked in good shape. I did not see anything torn or damaged on its wings. I'll keep my eyes out for another. I never really feel like I've seen the first one of the season until I've seen two!"
Consider the Weather
Could weather like this carry a monarch to South Dakota?
Strong south winds Warm air mass as far north as Canada

These maps show conditions on Sunday, April 20th. There were several days with weather like this before the April 22nd sighting in South Dakota. Notice how the strong south winds carried warm air northward across the Great Plains and across the Canadian border. Did a monarch ride north during such conditions?

Consider This Year's Migration

Watch the animation. Do you think this sighting is possible based on other migration patterns? >>

  • Have monarch sightings 'jumped ahead' like this one in other places?
  • How many miles away has the nearest monarch been seen this spring?
  • Do you see anything when viewing the maps that makes you question or believe the sighting?

The about distance and direction >>

Consider Evidence from Past Years' Migrations

Have monarchs ever been spotted so far north this early in the year? Dig through Journey North’s historic maps and data and see what you can find. For example, a 3rd grader in Iowa reported a very early butterfly from her state one year sent this photo for proof! Can you find the date and latitude of her sighting?

A 3rd grade student sent this proof of an early monarch in Iowa!